Wednesday, April 17, 2013

Big Predictions for Housing for Next 2 Years-Florida Keys statistics December 2012 through February 2013


Big Predictions for Housing for Next 2 Years
Daily Real Estate News | Friday, March 29, 2013
Home sales are projected to post some big gains in the next two years, according to Fannie Mae's latest monthly economic outlook.
Fannie Mae economists predict that existing-home sales will rise by 10.5 percent this year, and by 6.2 percent in 2014. The economists made even bolder projections for new single-family home sales -- growing 15.1 percent this year and 44.1 percent in 2014.
"We expect home prices to firm further amid a durable housing recovery, continuing to boost household net worth, gradually diminishing the population of underwater borrowers, and reducing incentive for strategic defaults," according to Fannie Mae's report.
Fannie Mae projects that mortgage rates will stay low by historical averages this year, but the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage will rise from an average of 3.5 percent during the first quarter to an average of 4 percent during the final three months of 2013. During the fourth quarter of 2014, mortgage rates are projected to tick up to a 4.5 percent average.
Mortgage applications for purchases are projected to increase by 16.8 percent this year and by 17.1 percent in 2014. However, a decline in applications for refinancings will likely cause mortgage originations to be down 14.5 percent this year and by 31.4 percent in 2014, Fannie economists predict.

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Rate on 30-year mortgage falls to 3.43% --April 11, 2013
Rate fell sharply and are close to record-low hit last fall, but not a single expert polled by Bankrate.com this week predicts further drops soon

Florida Keys statistics December 2012 through February 2013
Single Family Homes
Closed sales + 15.2% over prior year
Pending sales + 44% over prior year
Inventory down 19.3% over prior year
Condo/townhomes
Closed sales -30% but up +14.3% for February
Pending sales +20% over prior year
Inventory down 8.3% over prior year