Thursday, August 27, 2009

Home prices increase from 1Q to 2Q

Thinking about purchasing your Dream Home in the Florida Keys?? The time is right-- low interest rates, low home prices and plenty of homes to choose from!

Index shows home prices increase from 1Q to 2Q

NEW YORK (AP) – Aug. 26, 2009 – Home prices across most of the country have started to rise from the depths of the housing slump, a critical trend that will help stabilize the broader U.S. economy, according to new figures released Tuesday.

Nationally, prices in the second quarter posted their first quarterly increase in three years, according to the widely watched Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller’s U.S. National Home Price Index.

While home prices are still 30 percent below the mid-2006 peak, their new direction should bring relief to both lenders and homeowners. Falling property values have wiped out $4 trillion in homeowner equity, and thousands have walked away from homes that are worth far less than their mortgage balance. Lenders have written off billions of dollars in bad loans and to sell foreclosed homes at a fraction of their former cost.

“People are much more inclined to stay where they are and work something out,” if they have equity in their homes, said Sanjiv Das, chief executive of Citigroup’s mortgage unit.

And as consumers feel more confident in the value of their residences, they will feel safer about spending again. Consumer spending makes up about 70 percent of U.S. economic activity. In August, consumer confidence rose to the highest level since the recession began, the New York-based Conference Board said Tuesday.

Case-Shiller’s monthly index of 20 major cities also rose from May to June, with Dallas and Denver clocking their fourth-straight increase. Only Detroit and Las Vegas saw prices fall in June.

There are concerns, however, that the momentum behind home prices will stall at the end of November with the expiration of a federal tax credit for first-time homebuyers. These newbie buyers are snapping up one in every three homes sold.

First-time buyers get a credit of 10 percent of the sales price of a home, up to $8,000. The credit phases out for singles earning more than $75,000 and couples earning more than $150,000. The real estate industry is lobbying to have the credit extended.

“If the tax credit is making a significant impact, then housing will take a big hit when it expires,” said Pat Newport, an economist at IHS Global Insight.

Here’s a look at this month’s Case-Shiller report:

The news: The U.S. National Home Price Index rose 1.4 percent from the first quarter to 133, though was still down almost 15 percent from the second quarter of last year.

Home prices, on a seasonally adjusted basis, are at levels not seen since early 2003.

The monthly index of 20 major cities increased 0.7 percent to 142 from May to June, the second straight month the index didn’t decline. It was still 15.5 percent below June a year ago.

Every metro showed annual declines, with fifteen reporting double-digit drops.

The report: The Case-Shiller indexes measure home price increases and decreases relative to prices in January 2000. The base reading is 100; so a reading of 150 would mean that home prices increased 50 percent since the beginning of the index.

What it shows: The 20-city index is a three-month moving average of repeat sales of a designated group of single-family homes in each city. By measuring the sales price of the same properties over time, the index prevents the data from being skewed by a change in the types of homes sold. Sales between related parties, such as family members, are excluded because they may not reflect true market values.

The Case-Shiller quarterly index is a composite of home price indexes for the nine U.S. census divisions.

What it doesn’t show: The indexes only measure price data in 20 major metropolitan areas in 15 states and the District of Columbia. So, many areas of the country are not represented.

Why it matters: Investors closely watch the Case-Shiller indexes to gauge the level and direction of home prices. The indexes include a broader mix of properties compared to the index created by the Federal Housing Finance Agency. That index excludes many high-end properties, as well as homes bought with riskier mortgages or all cash.

The quote: “For the second month in a row, we’re seeing some positive signs,” said David M. Blitzer, chairman of the S&P index committee, adding, “There are hints of an upward turn from a bottom.”

Copyright © 2009 The Associated Press, J.W. Elphinstone, AP real estate writer. AP real estate writer Alan Zibel in Washington contributed to this report. All rights reserved.



Rob Skeel , Realtor- e-Pro -
Cell --305-393-6300 Email--rob@robskeel.com
Century 21 Keysearch Realty--800-541-5019
Web Site-- www.RobSkeel.com

Tuesday, August 18, 2009

Good Economic & real estate news

The news is beginning to become positive for both the economy and Florida Keys real estate.

The following are two articles that may be of interest to you if your thinking about purchasing your Dream Home in the Florida Keys.

If your ready to start looking or have real estate related questions, please contact me.


Economists pronounce the recession over


The majority of economists surveyed by the Wall Street Journal say the recession is over and Federal Reserve Chair Ben Bernanke deserves another term.

Of the 47 economists the newspaper surveyed, 27 said the recession has ended and 11 predict another trough this month or next. The rest refused to commit. But they were nearly unanimous in saying that Bernanke should be rehired.

“He deserves a lot of credit for stabilizing the financial markets,” says Joseph Carson of AllianceBernstein. “Confidence in recovery would be damaged if he was not reappointed.”

Poll respondents believe Bernanke has more than a 70 percent chance of being asked by President Barack Obama to remain at the helm of the central bank.

Gross domestic product is expected to grow 2.4 percent in the third quarter at a seasonally adjusted annual rate. Economists were also heartened by a better-than-expected jobless report in July.

Source: The Wall Street Journal, Phil Izzo (08/12/2009)

© Copyright 2009 INFORMATION, INC. Bethesda, MD (301) 215-4688


Florida’s existing home, condo sales up in 2Q 2009

Related Story


2Q existing-home sales rise in most states, says NAR
ORLANDO, Fla. – Aug. 12, 2009 – Sales of existing single-family homes in Florida rose 23 percent in second quarter 2009 compared to the same period a year earlier, according to the latest housing statistics from the Florida Association of Realtors® (FAR). A total of 43,125 existing homes sold statewide in 2Q 2009; during the same period the year before, a total of 35,008 existing homes sold. It marks the fourth consecutive quarter that Florida has seen higher existing year-to-year home sales, according to FAR.

Sales of existing condominiums statewide in the second quarter rose 29 percent compared to the same time the previous year. This marks the third consecutive quarter for increased statewide sales in both the existing home and condo markets compared to year-ago levels.

Statewide sales activity in 2Q 2009 also increased over 1Q 2009’s sales figure in both the existing home and existing condo markets, FAR records show. For 2Q 2009, statewide sales of existing homes rose 37.2 percent over the 1Q 2009 figure; existing condo sales statewide in 2Q 2009 increased 45.3 percent over the 1Q 2009 level.

“In spite of the challenges with the economy, most people – 83 percent – still believe that buying a home is a good financial decision, according to a recent survey from the National Association of Realtors® (NAR),” says 2009 FAR President Cynthia Shelton, CCIM, CRE, a broker and director of investment sales with Colliers Arnold in Orlando. (CCIM stands for Certified Commercial Investment Member and CRE is the Counselor of Real Estate designation). “Many homebuyers are realizing that this is the time to buy – with a good selection of housing inventory, affordable pricing and low mortgage rates.

“In fact, three-fourths of those responding to the 2009 National Housing Pulse Survey said they think now is a good time to purchase a home, a number that has increased steadily the past two years,” she says. “However, providing solid financing options for homebuyers is key to returning stability to the housing market, and buyers also need programs that help with downpayment and closing costs. That’s why the federal $8,000 first-time homebuyer tax credit and other programs enabling eligible buyers to access that tax credit for downpayment or closing costs are so important – programs like the Florida Homebuyer Opportunity Program.”

Sixteen of Florida’s metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) reported increased sales of existing homes in the second quarter compared to the same three-month period a year earlier, while 12 MSAs showed gains in condo sales.

The statewide existing-home median sales price was $143,600 in the second quarter; a year earlier, it was $203,200 for a decrease of 29 percent. The 2Q 2009 statewide existing-home median sales price was 1.8 percent higher than 1Q’s statewide existing-home median sales price of $141,000. According to industry analysts with the National Association of Realtors® (NAR), sales of foreclosures and other distressed properties continue to downwardly distort the median price because they generally sell at a discount relative to traditional homes. The median is a typical market price where half the homes sold for more, half for less.

In the year-to-year quarterly comparison for condo sales, 14,742 units sold statewide for the quarter compared to 11,459 in 2Q 2008 for a 29 percent increase. The statewide existing-condo median sales price was $111,100 for the three-month period; in 2Q 2008, it was $179,800 for a decrease of 38 percent. The 2Q 2009 statewide existing-condo median sales price was almost 1 percent higher 1Q’s statewide existing-condo median sales price of $110,100.

Continuing low mortgage rates remain another favorable influence on the housing sector. According to Freddie Mac, the national commitment rate for a 30-year conventional fixed-rate mortgage averaged 5.03 percent in 2Q 2009; one year earlier, it averaged 6.09 percent.

© 2009 FLORIDA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

Rob Skeel , Realtor- e-Pro - Cell --305-393-6300 Email--rob@robskeel.com
Century 21 Keysearch Realty--800-541-5019
Web Site-- www.RobSkeel.com

Green Certified Real Estate Professional, FHA Certified

Find a Home http://robskeel.com/homes_for_sale.shtml

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Tuesday, August 4, 2009

Welcome to the bottom: market rebound

Here is some good news about the housing market.





WASHINGTON – Aug. 3, 2009 – It was – note the past tense – the worst housing recession anyone but survivors of the Great Depression can remember.From the frenzied peak of the real estate boom in 2005-2006 to the recession’s trough earlier this year, home resales fell 38 percent and sales of new homes tumbled 76 percent. Construction of homes and apartments skidded 79 percent. And for the first time in more than four decades of record keeping, home prices posted consecutive annual declines.A staggering $4 trillion in home equity was wiped out, and millions of Americans lost their homes through foreclosure.





Now take a deep breath and exhale. The worst is over.By every measure, except foreclosures, the housing market has stabilized and many areas are recovering, according to a spate of data released in the past two weeks.





Nationwide, home resales in June are up 9 percent from January, on a seasonally adjusted basis. Sales of new homes have climbed 17 percent during the same period. And construction, while still anemic, has risen almost 20 percent since the beginning of the year.Even home prices, down one third from the top, edged up in May, the first monthly increase since June 2006.“The freefall is over,” says Dean Baker of the Center for Economic and Policy Research.The problem is that, Baker, like many economists, expects the housing market will “be bouncing around the bottom” for the second half of the year.





There are still some potential problems, ie: interest rate may rise, unemployment could continue to increase,



But if your considering a purchase this could be a good time to do it while prices are the lowest in years and mortgage rates are around 5% for a conventional 30 year fixed rate mortgage..





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